Figure 1 depicts the tracks of the 2016 atlantic tropical storms and hurricanes. Climatologist with the dominica meteorologist service, dms annie carrettejospeh, who presented the wethurricane season outlook for 2016, said that between the period june to august, there would also be a gradual drought alleviation across the region and that surface water reservoirs will recharge, there will be soil moisture. The biggest headline of the 2016 atlantic season was hurricane matthew. For the caribbean, the hurricane season usually starts in june and lasts until november. Earl ends western caribbean hurricane drought, causes deadly flooding. A tropical wave emerged off the western coast of africa on june 8, reaching the southwestern caribbean sea by june 15. The 2016 atlantic hurricane season s impacts were widespread throughout the caribbean and the gulf coast of the united states. Nov 01, 2017 most major hurricanes have come out of western caribbean. Aug 02, 2016 houston the fifth named storm of the 2016 hurricane season formed in the caribbean late tuesday morning as of 11 a. A brief overview of the hurricane season is available in the 2016 atlantic annual summary pdf. In fact, 100 years of hurricane data show that the chances of miami or the gulf coast of the united states being hit by a hurricane are higher than anywhere in the caribbean. Most major hurricanes have come out of western caribbean.
Rick knabb, director of the national hurricane center. The overall hurricane season for western caribbean islands is the same as the whole region, but the peak season is slightly later than in the eastern partsmidseptember through october. Western caribbean hurricanes differ from the eastern caribbean storms in that they are generally less violent and less likely as well. Discussions 2016 caribbean hurricane network stormcarib. Even though the caribbean hurricane season is from june to november, there are still times when hurricanes are almost nonexistent. The highest surge of possible hurricanes during that time is usually the middle of september. Recordsetting 2016 hurricane season comes to an end fox. Your chances of getting hit by a hurricane in the caribbean is probably not a whole lot different than it is in miami or on the gulf coast, says sheets. Find out more about hurricane season in the caribbean when and where hurricanes are most likely, and how hurricane season impacts on travel to the caribbean. Atlantic hurricane seasonwhich can affect the caribbean, the bahamas, bermuda, and the east coast of the united statesspans from june 1. Hurricane season in the caribbean runs from june 1 through nov. Hurricane matthew dominated a hurricane season marked by firsts and rarities. The caribbeans different regionseastern, western, and southernhave varying amounts of risk during the caribbean hurricane season, so be sure to check the caribbean hurricane forecast before making travel plans and consider the risk of storms at your preferred destination.
Typically, if your trip is canceled or interrupted due to a storm, you can be refunded up to the limit of coverage. Nov 21, 2016 the western caribbean is a climatologicallyfavored region for late season development, but by this late in the hurricane season, very few storms have ever formed. The 2016 atlantic hurricane season was an average, but destructive, atlantic hurricane season. Jamaica, being on the western side of the storm if matthew follows track. The national oceanic and atmospheric administration noaa recommends that those in. Read on to discover how dominica, devastated by 2017s. Some islands in the southern caribbean such as aruba and barbados are less hurricane prone than further north.
A rare late november hurricane has formed in the southwest caribbean just eight days before the end of the 2016 atlantic hurricane season. The first forecast for the devastating 2017 season, issued in december 2016 by. The 2016 atlantic hurricane season was an above average season with 15 named. Still, if youre planning to vacation in florida, the gulf coast, or the caribbean during hurricane season, you might consider buying travel insurance or opting for a hotel with a hurricane guarantee. It is currently defined as the time frame from june 1 through november 30, though in the past the season was defined as a shorter time frame. Conquering the caribbean in hurricane season expedia. The overall hurricane season for western caribbean islands is the same as the whole region, but the peak season is slightly later than. In this article, air assistant vice president and director of.
The average caribbean hurricane season may have as many as 12 to 20 named storms of which six could become hurricanes, according to the national oceanic and atmospheric administration. A twoday caribbean regional climate outlook forum caricof began in dominica today with the region being told to brace itself for wetter than usual season and chances of more hurricane activity this year than in past five years climatologist with the dominica meteorologist service, dms annie carrettejospeh, who presented the wethurricane season outlook for 2016. The western caribbean is a climatologicallyfavored region for late season development, but by this late in the hurricane season, very few storms have ever formed. Taking a further look into the climatology of the atlantic hurricane season, the images on the left indicate the regions where tropical cyclones are likely to form and track during each month of hurricane season. An off season atlantic hurricane is a recorded tropical or subtropical cyclone that existed in the atlantic basin outside of the official atlantic hurricane season. Conquering the caribbean in hurricane season expedia viewfinder. An offseason atlantic hurricane is a recorded tropical or subtropical cyclone that existed in the atlantic basin outside of the official atlantic hurricane season. The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on tropical depression one, located over the western atlantic ocean off the eastcentral coast of florida.
Wednesday, tropical storm earl had sustained winds of 45 miles per hour. May 22, 2018 it seems as if hurricane season is starting earlier each year. Matthew made landfall in western haiti as a dangerous category 4 hurricane on october 4. Aug 11, 2016 storm names for the 2016 atlantic hurricane season as of august 11, there have been five named storms in 2016, including two hurricanes alex and earl. Hurricane season in the caribbean ask a cruise question.
Bonnie in south carolina, colin in western florida, danielle in eastern mexico, and earl in belize and mexico. Hurricane season in the caribbean responsible travel. Jun 22, 2016 taking a further look into the climatology of the atlantic hurricane season, the images on the left indicate the regions where tropical cyclones are likely to form and track during each month of hurricane season. Hurricane and typhoon season will last through november 2017, though most. The disney cruise line blog an unofficial disney cruise line news, information, weather, and photo blog. The best time and weather to travel to the caribbean usa. Simple and easy to read, our guide to hurricane season in the caribbean. Earl ended a span of nearly four years with no hurricane landfalls in. Cphc expects five to eight tropical cyclones to affect the central pacific this season. The season officially started on june 1 and ended on november 30, though the first storm, hurricane alex which formed in the northeastern atlantic, developed on january 12, being the first hurricane to develop in january since 1938. Figure 2 also shows that while unfavorable upperlevel convergence existed over the western atlantic and caribbean sea during august and. Statistically, there is a very low risk that a storm will impact your vacation. This season is further divided between the specific areas of the region. Zczc miatwoat all ttaa00 knhc ddhhmm special tropical weather outlook nws national hurricane center miami fl 715 pm edt sat may 16 2020 for the north atlantic.
The 2016 pacific hurricane season was tied as the fifthmost active season on record, alongside the 2014 season. Oct 10, 2016 nexsat satellite imagery of hurricane matthew as it moved through the caribbean and western atlantic. The 2019 atlantic hurricane season is unforgettable. Throughout the course of the year, a total of 22 named storms, hurricanes and six major hurricanes were observed within the basin. The 2016 season had an unusually early start when alex formed from a nontropical low in january. Otto is the seventh hurricane of the 2016 hurricane. Its perfectly understandable that one might have questions regarding the eastern and western caribbean. Apr 02, 2016 the atlantic hurricane season runs from june 1st through november 30th but this year is an anomaly already with our first hurricane of 2016, alex, forming in january.
Hurricane season officially runs from june 1 through november 30. One of the biggest myths about caribbean weather is that every hurricane season is unlivable on the islands. The areas covered include the north atlantic ocean, gulf of mexico and the caribbean sea. Alex was the first hurricane to form in the month of january since 1938. During the active atlantic hurricane period 1995 through 2016, a total of 20 named storms, 9. Although hurricanes are generally unpredictable, conventional wisdom has dictated that peak season varies by geography. Out of all the regions in the caribbean, the southeastern part has the least number of hurricanes and the southwestern and the northeast region the bahamas has the most. Noaas central pacific hurricane center cphc predicts an 80 percent chance of a near or above normal season.
For instance, the eastern caribbean, as well as the u. Mexico and the western caribbean seem to be a magnet for storms a bit later in the summer, from midaugust through october. Early and lateseason hurricanes june and mid to latenovember. The majority of hurricanes again form in the western caribbean at this time, and are. The east pacific hurricane season is oftoverlooked because there are simply more people cruising the caribbean than, say, the mexican riviera. Lateseason tropical storm otto forms in southwest caribbean by the associated press nov 21, 2016.
Bob sheets, former director of the national hurricane center, says the biggest myth about caribbean weather is that every hurricane season is unlivable. Cruise in hurricane season what to know before you go. I am saying 50% of the total ace this year will be in the gulf of mexico or western caribbean. As of today, the 2019 atlantic hurricane season has had 17 named storms. The fifth hurricane of 2016 reached category 5 strength on september 30, the first since felix in 2007. Although caribbean hurricane season runs from june through november, the most active months are usually august and september when the waters of the caribbean are at their warmest. How does the 2019 atlantic hurricane season stack up in terms of activity.
The atlantic basin includes the entire atlantic ocean, the caribbean sea, and the gulf of mexico. The 2016 hurricane season finally saw the end of floridas much talked about hurricane drought with the arrival of hurricane hermine on september 2. Houston the fifth named storm of the 2016 hurricane season formed in the caribbean late tuesday morning as of 11 a. Hurricane otto has formed in the western caribbean, with maximum sustained winds of 75 mph, heading west at 2 mph. The caribbean s different regionseastern, western, and southernhave varying amounts of risk during the caribbean hurricane season, so be sure to check the caribbean hurricane forecast before making travel plans and consider the risk of storms at your preferred destination. Jan 08, 2020 the east pacific hurricane season is oftoverlooked because there are simply more people cruising the caribbean than, say, the mexican riviera. East coast, experiences more hurricanes between august and september, while the western caribbean has more hurricanes from. Category 1 hurricane formed in the western caribbean on aug. Caribbean hurricane season caribbean hurricane forecast. The atlantic hurricane season runs from june 1 to november 30 with the peak period from early august through the end of october. The only regions that typically escape the path of hurricanes are those islands located in the far southern parts of the caribbean. But dont be fooled into believing youll be safe elsewhere in the caribbeans.
Hurricane matthew satellite imagery september 26october 9. Hurricane and typhoon season lasts through november 2016, though most tropical cyclones typically develop between may and october. The season is still expected to be the most active since 2012. Virtually every bigship cruise line, from north american companies to those based in europe, offers seasonal, if not yearround, trips to the western caribbean.
An area of disturbed weather in the western caribbean is being watched for possible development next week. Keep these 5 travel tips in mind before you book that caribbean beach vacation. Although the season was very active, it was considerably less active than the previous season, with large gaps of inactivity at the beginning and. The caribbean region is prone to hurricanes, with the season lasting from the start of june to the end of november. However, the western coast of mexico is also subject. After heavily researching hurricane season travel, i spent a month in the abcs at the tail end of storm season. The caribbean hurricane season reaches its peak during october with the majority of hurricane formation occuring in the western caribbean. Mar 18, 2020 the 2019 season was also marked by category 5 dorians brutal assault on the northern bahamas and was the first time since 2012s hurricane sandy that a season spawned an s storm. The disney dream set sail from port canaveral on october 3, 2016. Very active hurricane season predicted for caribbean. During the active atlantic hurricane period 1995 through 2016, a total of 20 named storms, 9 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes formed. It seems as if hurricane season is starting earlier each year.
A joaquintype storm milling around in the gulf, for instance, is a. A cluster of showers and thunderstorms in the western caribbean has the potential to become the next named tropical system of the 2016 atlantic hurricane season. Things to know about cruises during hurricane season tripsavvy. As a result, im in the process of plotting a yearly trip. The worst time for hurricanes in the western caribbean is from midaugust through early november. Oct 08, 20 after heavily researching hurricane season travel, i spent a month in the abcs at the tail end of storm season.
Hurricane matthew satellite imagery september 26october 9, 2016. Aug 28, 2014 atlantic hurricane seasonwhich can affect the caribbean, the bahamas, bermuda, and the east coast of the united statesspans from june 1 to november 30, with most activity occurring from. Tropical storm otto could be next in atlantic hurricane season. Atlantic hurricane season still expected to be strongest. Say you booked a sevennight cruise to the western caribbean, but to avoid a storm, the cruise line changes the itinerary to the eastern caribbean.
August 11, 2016 in its updated 2016 atlantic hurricane season outlook, noaa calls for a higher likelihood of a nearnormal or abovenormal season, and decreases the chance of a belownormal season to only 15 percent, from the initial outlook issued in may. The 2019 season was also marked by category 5 dorians brutal assault on the northern bahamas and was the first time since 2012s hurricane sandy. In addition, there have been several storms over the years that have not been fully tropical and are categorized as subtropical depressions and subtropical storms. During june, tropical cyclones are typically favored in the gulf of mexico and the western caribbean. Yes, you can still take a cruise during hurricane season. Tropical cyclones in the north atlantic are called hurricanes, tropical storms, or tropical depressions. Generally speaking, the most popular itineraries to.
Western caribbean hurricanes hurricane season for western. I have been on numerous cruises during october that included being between a hurricane and tropical storm during a western caribbean cruise. The atlantic hurricane season is the period in a year when hurricanes usually form in the atlantic ocean. Wednesday, tropical storm earl had sustained winds of. In the western caribbean, it picks up in midseptember and stretches into early november. The atlantic hurricane season runs from june 1st through november 30th but this year is an anomaly already with our first hurricane of 2016, alex, forming in january. The national oceanic and atmospheric administration currently defines the season as occurring between june 1 and november 30 each calendar year, which is when 97% of all atlantic tropical cyclones occur. Nexsat satellite imagery of hurricane matthew as it moved through the caribbean and western atlantic. The 2016 atlantic hurricane season featured a combination of destructive hurricanes and climatological oddities in a season that stretched from january through late. Csu calls for nearaverage 2016 atlantic hurricane season. In 2016, the first storm formed in january and managed to reach hurricane status. The 2016 atlantic hurricane season was the first aboveaverage hurricane season since 2012, producing 15 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes. This storm in the caribbean could become a hurricane by.
1291 716 845 229 1448 300 1373 1027 802 620 1594 773 1345 109 1227 1532 984 662 773 1287 809 515 119 1569 238 883 673 1167 1199 530 1384 244 576 362 1153 112 259 1087 1169